Energy Technology Explorer
Nuclear, wind, solar, gas, gas+CCS, storage, hydro, marine and hydrogen-to-power, compared on build time, lifespan, capacity factor, cost and UK deployment — with DESNZ’s own model estimates kept visibly separate from what has actually been built.
| Technology | Dispatchability | Build time | Lifespan | Assumed / observed load factor | Capital cost (2030, £/kW) | LCOE (2030, £/MWh) | UK current capacity | UK pipeline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuclear (large-scale) Nuclear | Baseload (inflexible) Runs continuously at near-full output; not designed to ramp up/down to follow demand. | — | — | 64.0% observed (2025) | — | — | 5.9 GW | 17.0 GW |
| SMR (small modular reactor) Nuclear | Baseload (inflexible) Same operating principle as large-scale nuclear, at smaller unit size — no UK operating example yet to confirm real-world flexibility. | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | — |
| Offshore wind (fixed-bottom) Wind | Variable Output follows wind availability, not demand — typically stronger and steadier than onshore. | ~3 yrs | 30 yrs | 48% assumed 36.1% observed (2025) | £2100–3100 (central £2500) | £103/MWh | 16.0 GW | 60.7 GW |
| Onshore wind Wind | Variable Output follows wind availability, not demand. | ~2 yrs | 35 yrs | 36% assumed 24.0% observed (2025) | £1000–1700 (central £1300) | £58/MWh | 15.5 GW | 20.1 GW |
| Solar PV (large-scale) Solar | Variable Zero output overnight; UK output also varies sharply by season. | ~1 yrs | 38 yrs | 12% assumed 11.1% observed (2025) | £400–500 (central £500) | £60/MWh | 11.1 GW | 46.8 GW |
| Gas (unabated CCGT) Fossil (unabated) | Dispatchable Can ramp up/down on demand — historically used as both baseload and flexible/peaking plant depending on system need and gas price. | ~3 yrs | 25 yrs | 93% assumed 29.7% observed (2025) | £800–1100 (central £1000) | £111 (93% LF) · £147 (30% LF) · £424 (5% LF) | 36.5 GW | 49.1 GW |
| Gas + CCS (carbon capture and storage) Fossil + CCS | Dispatchable Same operating flexibility as unabated gas in principle — no operating UK example yet to confirm in practice. | ~3 yrs | 25 yrs | 88% assumed | £1800–2500 (central £2200) | £105 (88% LF) · £181 (30% LF) · £762 (5% LF) | 0 | — |
| Batteries (grid-scale) Storage | Dispatchable (energy-limited) Can respond within seconds, but total stored energy is limited (typically 1-4 hours at rated power) — not a substitute for continuous generation. | — | — | — | — | — | 5.0 GW | 124.1 GW |
| Pumped storage hydro Storage | Dispatchable (energy-limited) Fast-responding and can sustain output for hours (existing UK schemes: several hours to ~1-2 days at rated power) — genuinely energy-limited by reservoir size, unlike a continuous generator. | — | — | — | — | — | 2.8 GW | 10.9 GW |
| Interconnectors Interconnection | Dispatchable Import/export direction and volume can be adjusted, subject to the connected country's own supply/demand and the commercial arrangement — not a generation technology in its own right. | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tidal stream Marine | Variable Highly PREDICTABLE (tides are known years in advance, unlike wind/solar) but still variable output, not on-demand. | ~4 yrs | 25 yrs | 37% assumed | £3900–4500 (central £4200) | £288/MWh | 12 MW | 662 MW |
| Hydro (natural flow) Hydro | Dispatchable Some flexibility to hold back and release water within reservoir limits; ultimately bounded by rainfall/river flow. | — | — | 32.3% observed (2025) | — | — | 1.6 GW | — |
| Hydrogen-to-power (CCHT/OCHT) Hydrogen-to-power | Dispatchable Same operating principle as gas turbines, burning hydrogen (or a hydrogen/gas blend) instead of/alongside natural gas. | — | 25 yrs | 93% assumed | £1000–1300 (central £1100) | £178 (93% LF) · £222 (30% LF) · £548 (5% LF) | 3 MW | 4.3 GW |
"—" means DESNZ has not published that figure for this technology (see each technology's notes below) — never a UK Stat Pack estimate filling the gap.
Notes and caveats, by technology
Nuclear (large-scale)
- DESNZ has not published a generic nuclear cost/LCOE estimate since its 2016 report cycle, and Hinkley Point C and Sizewell C costs were excluded from the 2025 Electricity Generation Costs report by name (see file header) — no capital-cost or LCOE figure is shown here rather than reproduce a decade-stale generic estimate. Sizewell C's own PROJECT cost (not a generic per-technology LCOE, and not comparable to the £/kW figures elsewhere in this table) is now public via the National Audit Office's independent value-for-money audit — set out below.
- The 17,000 MW TEC Register pipeline figure is a raw sum of everything tagged "Nuclear" in the connection queue, at whatever stage — it is not a forecast of what will actually be built — the same caution applies here as to the wider connections queue.
SMR (small modular reactor)
- DESNZ's own words (Electricity Generation Costs 2025, p.28): "GBE-N's SMR Programme is in the early stages of development and cost estimates are expected to mature." No build-time, lifespan, load-factor, cost or pipeline-capacity figure is shown — genuinely not yet published by DESNZ, not withheld.
Offshore wind (fixed-bottom)
- Assumed (48%) vs observed fleet (36.1%) load factor differ because the assumption models a new, larger 2030-vintage turbine design — the real fleet includes older, smaller, lower-yield turbines. Neither figure is wrong; they answer different questions.
- The REPD "nameplate" capacity figures here are NOT the same measure as the de-rated installed-capacity figures shown on the Powering Britain page: DUKES adjusts wind and solar capacity downward for expected availability, so the two are not directly comparable.
- The 60.7 GW REPD pipeline figure includes every filed project regardless of how likely it is to actually connect — NESO's own reform-adjusted 2030-aligned figure for offshore wind specifically is 32.1 GW, a genuinely different, more filtered number answering "what NESO now expects to connect by 2030" rather than "what has been proposed".
Onshore wind
- Assumed (36%) vs observed fleet (24.0%) load factor gap reflects both siting/turbine-generation improvements assumed for new 2030 builds and the real fleet's mix of older sites.
Solar PV (large-scale)
- DESNZ's assumed and DUKES' observed load factors are closely aligned (12% vs 11.1%) — unlike wind, solar's physics (fixed panel output per unit of sunlight) leaves less room for a "newer design performs better" gap.
Gas (unabated CCGT)
- DESNZ publishes THREE LCOE figures for gas, at three assumed load factors (93%/30%/5%) — the ~4x cost jump from 93% to 5% is the clearest illustration in this whole table of why dispatchable-but-idle capacity costs so much more per unit of energy actually delivered.
- The real UK gas fleet runs at ~29.7% average, closer to the 30% scenario than the 93% one — reflecting its actual role backing up variable renewables and following demand, not running flat-out as the 93% figure would imply.
Gas + CCS (carbon capture and storage)
- UK gas-CCS projects (e.g. the Track-1 CCS clusters) are in development but were not separately identified by plant type in the NESO TEC Register at the time of ingestion — pipeline capacity is left unsourced rather than estimated.
Batteries (grid-scale)
- Not covered by DESNZ's 2025 Electricity Generation Costs update — no capex/LCOE figure published in that series for batteries. "Load factor" and "LCOE" are not meaningful comparisons for a storage technology on the same terms as a generator (a battery consumes energy to store it, then re-sells it — it does not generate net energy).
- The 124 GW REPD pipeline figure is the largest of any technology in this table by a wide margin, and includes many speculative/early-stage applications — treat as an upper bound on interest, not a forecast of what gets built (NESO's own reform-aligned 2030 figure for battery storage specifically is 34.5 GW).
Pumped storage hydro
- Not covered by DESNZ's 2025 Electricity Generation Costs update — the UK's existing pumped-storage fleet dates from the 1960s-80s and was not re-costed in this edition.
Interconnectors
- Not a generation technology — no capacity/capex/LCOE comparison applies on the same terms as the rows above. See electricity-net-imports-twh in the main registry (DUKES Table 5.13) for the UK's actual net import/export flow via all interconnectors combined (France, Ireland/Northern Ireland, Netherlands, Ireland/Wales, Belgium, Norway, Denmark): 29.7 TWh net imported in 2025.
- Per-interconnector nameplate GW capacity figures exist at Ofgem/NESO but were not verified this session — left unsourced rather than estimated.
Tidal stream
- Labelled FOAK (first-of-a-kind) by DESNZ — its cost figures reflect an immature, small-volume industry; by far the highest £/MWh of any technology DESNZ costs in this report, over double onshore/offshore wind or solar.
Hydro (natural flow)
- DUKES' 1,612 MW figure (all UK generating companies) is a DIFFERENT, larger population than REPD's small+large hydro operational total (~670 MW) — REPD tracks renewable-support-scheme-eligible projects specifically, not every hydro scheme DUKES counts. Both are genuine, correctly-sourced figures for different populations, not a contradiction.
- Not covered by DESNZ's 2025 Electricity Generation Costs update — no current capex/LCOE figure.
Hydrogen-to-power (CCHT/OCHT)
- The DESNZ figures shown are for "CCHT 50% 900MW" — a first-of-a-kind (FOAK) combined-cycle plant burning a 50% hydrogen / 50% natural-gas blend, NOT a 100%-hydrogen plant (DESNZ separately models a 100%-hydrogen "OCHT", which is substantially more expensive — £396/MWh at 93% load factor — and is not the figure used here).
- REPD's tiny 2.7 MW "Operational" figure reflects how early-stage hydrogen-to-power is in the UK today — almost entirely still in the pipeline, not built.
The same figures, as pictures
Built capacity versus project pipeline, by technology
Battery storage has roughly 25 times more capacity in the pipeline than built, and solar around four times. A large pipeline signals interest, not delivery — most of it will never connect.
View data table
| Period | Built and operational | In the pipeline |
|---|---|---|
| Batteries (grid-scale) | 4.96 | 124.12 |
| Gas (unabated CCGT) | 36.51 | 49.14 |
| Offshore wind (fixed-bottom) | 16.01 | 60.73 |
| Solar PV (large-scale) | 11.15 | 46.76 |
| Onshore wind | 15.51 | 20.14 |
| Nuclear (large-scale) | 5.88 | 17 |
| Pumped storage hydro | 2.83 | 10.89 |
| Hydrogen-to-power (CCHT/OCHT) | 0 | 4.28 |
| Hydro (natural flow) | 1.61 | 0 |
| Tidal stream | 0.01 | 0.66 |
United Kingdom · Source: DESNZ Renewable Energy Planning Database; NESO TEC Register (nuclear and gas) · as of Q2 2026
What a new plant is assumed to achieve, versus what the existing fleet does
Gas is the widest gap: DESNZ models a new plant running 93% of the time, while the existing UK fleet ran at under 30%. That is not an error in either figure — a new plant is modelled as baseload, whereas gas today is dispatched flexibly around wind and solar.
View data table
| Period | Assumed for a new 2030 plant | Observed, current UK fleet |
|---|---|---|
| Gas (unabated CCGT) | 93 | 29.66 |
| Offshore wind (fixed-bottom) | 48 | 36.12 |
| Onshore wind | 36 | 24.02 |
| Solar PV (large-scale) | 12 | 11.08 |
United Kingdom · Source: DESNZ, Electricity Generation Costs 2025 (assumed) and DUKES Tables 5.10.B / 6.3 (observed) · as of 2025 observed; 2030 assumption
Capital cost per kW for a plant commissioning in 2030
The published ranges overlap substantially, which is why a single central figure per technology can mislead. Tidal stream is the most expensive per kW of those DESNZ costs; solar the least.
View data table
| Period | Low | Central | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tidal stream | 3900 | 4200 | 4500 |
| Offshore wind (fixed-bottom) | 2100 | 2500 | 3100 |
| Gas + CCS (carbon capture and storage) | 1800 | 2200 | 2500 |
| Onshore wind | 1000 | 1300 | 1700 |
| Hydrogen-to-power (CCHT/OCHT) | 1000 | 1100 | 1300 |
| Gas (unabated CCGT) | 800 | 1000 | 1100 |
| Solar PV (large-scale) | 400 | 500 | 500 |
United Kingdom · Source: DESNZ, Electricity Generation Costs 2025, Annex A · as of 2030 estimate, 2024 prices
Sizewell C's own cost, independently audited
No generic nuclear £/kW or LCOE figure is shown in the table above (see nuclear's own notes) — but Sizewell C's own PROJECT cost, a genuinely different and non-comparable number, was made public for the first time in the National Audit Office's independent value-for-money audit, published 20 May 2026.
| Estimate | Cost (2024-25 prices unless stated otherwise) | Associated completion |
|---|---|---|
| Company baseline | £38.2bn | July 2039 |
| DESNZ lower regulatory threshold | £40.5bn | October 2039 |
| DESNZ higher regulatory threshold | £47.7bn | August 2043 |
Public break-even
Not before 2064
Over half the total cost falls on consumers before 2051 — decades before modelled benefits begin.
Bill impact
£4 → £19–21/yr
2025-26 rising to a peak in the first decade of operation.
Investor returns
10.8–13%
Annualised post-tax nominal, across both thresholds. NAO's own assessment: these returns are higher than typically seen in other utility sectors, and it is not clear the deal sufficiently incentivises investors to keep costs well below the higher threshold — NAO's judgement, not this site's.
Equity: DESNZ 44.9%, EDF 12.5%, La Caisse 20%, Centrica 15%, Amber Infrastructure 7.6%. Debt: up to £36.6bn from the National Wealth Fund plus £5bn from commercial lenders (Nominal terms.). Source: National Audit Office, "Sizewell C", HC 33, Session 2026-27 — evidence class B — Official/admin statistic with methodological limitations.
How this is calculated, and what "evidence class" means
- A — Observed official statistic — UK current capacity and pipeline (REPD, NESO TEC Register), observed fleet load factors (DUKES).
- D/E — Forecast or scenario (see forecastSource) (official) — build time, lifespan, assumed load factor, capital cost and LCOE: DESNZ's own Electricity Generation Costs 2025 model, for a generic plant commissioning in 2030.
Nuclear, SMR, batteries, pumped storage, hydro and interconnectors show "—" for some or all cost fields because DESNZ has not published a current generic estimate for them (nuclear/SMR: commercially confidential or too early-stage; others: outside the scope of the 2025 report update) — see each technology's own notes above.