Outlook & action · Manifesto tracker

20 of 32 2024 manifesto pledges are currently off track

What did the parties promise? What has actually happened? Real data vs manifesto pledges — tracked and assessed against official statistics. Labour = in government; all others = opposition pledges yet to be tested.

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Labour in government — tracking their manifesto pledges against real-world delivery and official statistics.

Labour Government Scorecard

Labour
11
Tracked
3
On Track
3
Off Track
3
Mixed

Delivery assessed against official statistics. Only Labour can be held accountable for delivery — they form the government.

Labour pledges, and how far each has travelled

Showing 11 Labour pledges
LabourNHS
⚠️ Mixed

40,000 extra appointments per week to cut waiting times

Target
40,000 additional appointments per week; 18-week waits as standard
Current Reality
7.33m treatment pathways (~6.23m patients) on the waiting list, end July 2026; 18-week standard still breached for ~4m

Extra appointments are being added but the waiting list remains around 7.33m pathways (~6.23m patients) at end July 2026. Progress is happening but the 18-week standard is still being missed for roughly 4 million patients. Government says the trend is now downward for the first time in years.

Assessed Jul 2026See the data →
LabourHousing
Off Track

Build 1.5 million homes over the parliament

Target
300,000 homes per year; 1.5m over parliament
Current Reality
208,600 net additional homes in 2024-25

England added 208,600 net homes in 2024-25 — 70% of the 300,000/yr target, and down 6% on the year before. Of that, 190,600 were new build. Planning reforms have been legislated but the construction pipeline takes years to feed through, and supply has now fallen for three consecutive years. Highly unlikely to hit 1.5m over the parliament on this trajectory. Source: MHCLG, net additional dwellings, England, 2024-25.

Assessed Aug 2026See the data →
LabourHousing
On Track

Reform planning system — reintroduce mandatory housing targets

Target
Reinstated mandatory local targets and updated NPPF
Current Reality
NPPF revised Dec 2024 — mandatory targets back in place

Labour revised the NPPF in December 2024, reinstating mandatory housing targets. The policy change is done; whether it translates to completions is the ongoing question.

Assessed Jun 2026See the data →
LabourEconomy
⚠️ Mixed

No rises in income tax, NI rates, or VAT

Target
All three held at 2024 general election levels
Current Reality
Income tax and VAT rates unchanged; employer NI raised in Oct 2024 Budget

Employee NI and income tax rates unchanged as pledged. However, employer National Insurance contributions were raised by 1.2pp to 15% in the October 2024 Budget — widely seen as a breach of the spirit of the pledge, though technically employee rates were not raised.

Assessed Jun 2026See the data →
LabourEconomy
Off Track

Deliver economic growth — highest sustained growth in the G7

Target
Highest sustained G7 growth
Current Reality
UK GDP growth ~1.0% in 2024/25; below G7 average

UK growth remains below the G7 average. The government points to trade deals and investment pledges but growth has not yet materially improved relative to peers.

Assessed Jun 2026See the data →
LabourEmployment
⚠️ Mixed

Employment Rights Bill — ban zero-hours contracts, strengthen worker rights

Target
Bill passed within first year; day-one rights for workers
Current Reality
Act passed Dec 2025; most headline rights not yet in force

The Employment Rights Act 2025 received Royal Assent in December 2025, so the legislative half of the pledge is met. The rights themselves are being commenced in phases and most of the headline ones are not yet in force. Some measures are live — the repeal of the Strikes (Minimum Service Levels) Act 2023, day-one paternity leave and statutory sick pay changes took effect between Royal Assent and April 2026. But the unfair dismissal change reduces the qualifying period to six months for dismissals from 1 January 2027 — it is not the day-one protection the pledge promised — and the zero-hours measures (the right to guaranteed hours and to reasonable notice) have no confirmed date, with timings to be set after consultation. Passing a law and granting a right are different things, and on this pledge they are more than a year apart. Source: DBT, "Plan to Make Work Pay and Employment Rights Act: timeline update" (updated 7 August 2026).

Assessed Aug 2026See the data →
LabourImmigration
Off Track

"Smash the gangs" — dismantle people-smuggling networks, increase returns

Target
Reduce small boat arrivals; increase removals
Current Reality
Small boat arrivals 41,472 in 2025; above 2023 levels

Small boat arrivals rose to 41,472 in 2025 — 13% above 2024 (36,816) and well above 2023 (29,437). A new returns agreement with some EU partners has been signed but removals remain low. The "smash the gangs" rhetoric has not yet produced a measurable reduction in crossings. Source: Home Office, Illegal entry routes to the UK detailed dataset (YE March 2026), table IER_D01.

Assessed Aug 2026See the data →
LabourCrime
🕐 Too Early

Recruit 13,000 additional neighbourhood police officers and PCSOs

Target
+13,000 neighbourhood officers
Current Reality
Officer numbers broadly flat at ~147,000; recruitment pipeline established

Police numbers are broadly flat. The neighbourhood policing guarantee has been announced with funding committed, but the 13,000 additional officers are expected over the parliament — too early to assess delivery.

Assessed Jun 2026See the data →
LabourEconomy
On Track

GB Energy — publicly owned clean energy company

Target
GB Energy incorporated, clean power by 2030
Current Reality
GB Energy launched 2025; clean power target under review

GB Energy was established in 2025 as planned. However, the 2030 clean power target is considered very ambitious by National Grid and may slip — still being treated as the official goal.

Assessed Jun 2026See the data →
LabourInequality
On Track

VAT on private school fees — use revenue for state education

Target
20% VAT applied; revenue directed to state school improvement
Current Reality
VAT on private school fees applied from Jan 2025

VAT on private school fees was implemented in January 2025 as pledged. Revenue is being directed into state school spending — the policy is delivered.

Assessed Jun 2026See the data →
LabourNHS
🕐 Too Early

Fix the NHS — end the "10-year problem in 10 years"

Target
Structural reform of NHS; 10-Year Plan published
Current Reality
NHS 10-Year Plan published 2025; Wes Streeting reforms underway

A 10-Year NHS Plan has been published and reforms are underway. It is far too early to assess delivery against a decade-long structural challenge. Direction of travel looks credible but impact on patients is not yet visible.

Assessed Jun 2026See the data →

Pledge assessments are based on publicly available official statistics and are updated periodically. Delivery tracking applies only to Labour as the governing party. Last full review: Jun 2026.

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